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Home Uncategorized

Global Equities Tumble Amid Recession Fears and Yen “Carry Trade” Unwind

Business 360 by Business 360
August 11, 2024
in Uncategorized
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Global Markets Ride Mixed Waves as Earnings Enthusiasm Clashes with Fed’s Hawkish Signals

Equities markets around the world experienced significant declines this week, fueled by mounting fears of a recession in the United States following a weaker-than-expected jobs report last week. Concerns that the Federal Reserve may be lagging in cutting interest rates to counter an economic slowdown have further intensified market anxieties.

The downturn was exacerbated by the unwinding of the yen “carry trade” after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates last week, narrowing the interest rate differential between Japan and the US. This shift prompted a surge in the yen, reaching a seven-month high against the dollar, and added to the pressure on global markets.

In the US, equities were set to close the week lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) down by 0.7% and the S&P 500 slipping by 0.5% as of the time of writing. These losses reflect the market’s unease over potential economic slowdown and the Fed’s cautious approach to monetary policy.

European equities also faced a tough week, with the STOXX Europe 600 edging down by 0.1% and the FTSE 100 declining by 0.3%. Investors in Europe were rattled by fears of a US-led global economic slowdown, leading to a cautious trading environment.

Asian markets bore the brunt of the negative sentiment, with the Nikkei 225 plunging by 2.5% and the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) falling by 1.5%. The losses in Asia were driven by the spillover of Wall Street’s negative sentiment and the yen’s sharp appreciation, which hurt Japan’s export-driven economy.

The broader emerging markets were not spared, as reflected by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (MSCI EM), which dropped by 1.3%, mirroring the losses in China. Meanwhile, the MSCI Frontier Markets Index (MSCI FM) declined by 1.1%, weighed down by bearish sentiments in Vietnam (-1.3%) and Romania (-3.0%).

The global market turbulence underscores the heightened uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, as investors grapple with the implications of central bank policies, currency movements, and slowing growth prospects across major economies.

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